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Christmas 2021
Index: 0
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  string(2582) "The last week has been quite a ride for those watching models runs, volatility has been through the roof. Until,  a spectacular turn of events on Wednesday evenings runs. Yes mild for much of England and Wales and any snow risk confined to Wales, Northern England and Scotland with the minus 5°C isotherm just making it into the north east.

The rest of Christmas Eve

Rain, some heavy, edging across southern areas, gap behind filling with low cloud and fog. Further rain into southwest later. Patchy rain sinking south across central areas, odd snowflake on hills. Frosty and clearer further north, snow showers for Shetland. Max in South 12°C / Max in North 7°C

Christmas Day 

Showers in the South West. Mild, dull and damp. Rain moving North East late Christmas night into Boxing Day. Falling as snow on higher routes (above 300-400 meters) although some wintriness could occur to lower levels for a time. Max 5°C  Fun fact: According to the Met Office the Christmas with the most widespread snow falling across the UK was 2004 as 61% of the observing network reported. The Christmas with the most widespread snow lying was 2010 as 83% of the network reported. The last technical 'white' Christmas was 2020. You can read more about their definition here

Boxing Day

Showers continue for Northern Ireland, Wales and the South East. Only real chance of seeing a few flakes for the foreseeable is as the main band moves North East, falling as snow over high ground but temporarily to lower levels perhaps, sleet most likely. Max 10°C in the south / 6°C in the North  The Outlook: Mild and unsettled with temperatures into double figures. Thanks for reading and Merry Christmas. " ["post_title"]=> string(14) "Christmas 2021" ["post_excerpt"]=> string(0) "" ["post_status"]=> string(7) "publish" ["comment_status"]=> string(4) "open" ["ping_status"]=> string(4) "open" ["post_password"]=> string(0) "" ["post_name"]=> string(14) "christmas-2021" ["to_ping"]=> string(0) "" ["pinged"]=> string(0) "" ["post_modified"]=> string(19) "2021-12-25 01:37:01" ["post_modified_gmt"]=> string(19) "2021-12-25 01:37:01" ["post_content_filtered"]=> string(0) "" ["post_parent"]=> int(0) ["guid"]=> string(29) "https://snowwatch.org/?p=5686" ["menu_order"]=> int(0) ["post_type"]=> string(4) "post" ["post_mime_type"]=> string(0) "" ["comment_count"]=> string(1) "0" ["filter"]=> string(3) "raw" }

24 December 2021
Featured image for “Christmas 2020: Could this be the year?”

Christmas 2020: Could this be the year?
Index: 1
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  string(4858) "Decorations up, shopping done, wrapping accomplished (Maybe!). Now time to reflect on the year? Well, perhaps it's best not to do that so much this year... it seems tough news just keeps coming. Our Government telling us we can't see friends or family like we normally would, a week before Christmas? My thoughts go out to everyone who has had their Christmas plans ruined at the last minute, and especially those who may now be on their own. Please do reach out if you're lonely! Twitter DMs, Facebook Messenger remain open.

Christmas in a nutshell

Model agreement has been pretty solid for the Christmas period. It looked a lot more interesting 10 days ago but as many people are aware it always does 10 days out. So, what can we expect? Overall, below average temperatures, essentially for the rest of 2020 despite the brief milder intrusions. Unsettled at times with risk of wintriness. Infact, Wednesday (today) is looking very unsettled. Christmas Eve looks to see the best of the seasonal feel. Windchill will make it feel a lot colder than it is before a return to unsettled conditions on Boxing Day. Snow risk continuing into the New Year.

Christmas Eve - Advisory issued

Graphic by Scott Duncan (click to enlarge)

After the heavy rain of Wednesday night a cold northerly wind takes hold across the UK as snow showers arrive over northern Scotland and North Sea coasts, perhaps as far down as northern coasts of East Anglia later into Christmas Eve night. Frosty with ice risk particularly in Scotland, Northern Ireland and Northern England with rural areas feeling particularly bitter. Gritters will be out in force! Brighter. Wintry showers dwindle as high pressure builds in from the west. Temperatures will feel up to 10°C colder in some places with many around freezing on Christmas Eve night. However, daytime while still feeling cold with that windchill will be around 3-5°C. Overall; a good day for getting out for a walk or finishing any last minute shopping--petrol stations open late FYI. You'll need to wrap up warm as it could be quite a shock to the system given recent mild weather.

Christmas Day

The big day will start cold, with a widespread frost. Eastern coastal areas of England still holding on to the northerly wind blowing some showers in off of the North Sea into the early hours and maybe just a touch before dawn before they begin to fade, perhaps a wintry flavour to them. A mainly dry day with sunny periods. As the day moves on cloud will increase from the northwest which could be thick enough for a few spots of light rain, perhaps a snow flurry in the north. Milder and unsettled conditions will move into north western parts of the country before the end of the day. Temperatures hovering around -1 to 5°C at 9am for those waking up early to open presents. Max temperatures 7°C

Boxing Day

A somewhat less exciting outlook but still below average. Outbreaks of rain and strong winds in the northwest slowly moving southwards. Snow likely in higher parts of Scotland. Max temperature 9°C in the South and 7°C in the North.

Towards New Years

It is expected to stay unsettled for the rest of the weekend and in the run up to New Year. There is an increased chance of snow down to lower levels in places so we'll be keeping an eye on that. 26th to 29th being the period we're watching for now. Plenty of wintry potential. The GIF below is purely to show you there's a risk and not exact placement or snow amounts. ECMWF tends to overdo that by quite a lot.

Competition TIme

We have already done a competition this year, and normally we'd only do one but we didn't want to pass up an opportunity to work with RainViewer to give you 12 months free premium access to the radar-great for tracking snow! To be in with a chance to win just answer this question and we'll pick 6 winners, 3 iOS and 3 Android at 5pm on Christmas Night (25th December). Merry Christmas!  " ["post_title"]=> string(39) "Christmas 2020: Could this be the year?" ["post_excerpt"]=> string(0) "" ["post_status"]=> string(7) "publish" ["comment_status"]=> string(6) "closed" ["ping_status"]=> string(6) "closed" ["post_password"]=> string(0) "" ["post_name"]=> string(11) "christmas20" ["to_ping"]=> string(0) "" ["pinged"]=> string(0) "" ["post_modified"]=> string(19) "2021-11-01 00:19:59" ["post_modified_gmt"]=> string(19) "2021-11-01 00:19:59" ["post_content_filtered"]=> string(0) "" ["post_parent"]=> int(0) ["guid"]=> string(29) "https://snowwatch.org/?p=3298" ["menu_order"]=> int(0) ["post_type"]=> string(4) "post" ["post_mime_type"]=> string(0) "" ["comment_count"]=> string(1) "0" ["filter"]=> string(3) "raw" }

23 December 2020
Featured image for “Christmas 2019: White or Green?”

Christmas 2019: White or Green?
Index: 2
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  string(3063) "It's so close now, I can almost smell the turkey. In fact it's defrosting in the microwave. Yes, that's where we keep it until Christmas Day. Is that normal?!

The question many meteorologists (professional and amatuer) are asked during the lead up to Christmas is "Will it be a White Christmas?" and of course the answer to that 6 weeks before it is always "Your guess is as good as mine right now" but here we are 2 days before Christmas and we have a better, almost concrete idea now.

Christmas Eve

Rain that has moved in from the South West earlier on Tuesday morning will be over Northern England and East Anglia by 5-6am and should duly moving east throughout early morning leaving a fair amount of cloud around with some sunny spells. Showers lingering across the Western England and Wales, these could feature thundery showers and hailstones. In fact the UK Met Office has already issued a thunderstorm warning for Christmas Eve. Temperatures around 3-10°C. It's worth pointing out, as we're all on the look out for even the smallest amount of snow that there could be snowfall to Northern Pennines, Peak District and Yorkshire Dales, maybe Welsh mountains too.

Christmas Day

Its looking dry for the vast majority of the country with varying cloud amounts and sunshine. Only a few showers getting into Northern and Western Scotland during the day. Late evening rain and strong winds will arrive in Ireland from the South West. It will be cold enough on high ground for snow. Although there doesn't seem to be a lot of precipitation around. If this happens then by the Met Office definition it'll be officially white. One to watch! We'll be monitoring this and posting on social media intermittently. You can read more about the definition here.
"A White Christmas is declared if one snowflake is observed falling in the 24 hours of 25th December somewhere in the UK" UK Met Office
Elsewhere will see sunny spells with some patches of frost and fog early and late. Temperatures ranging from 3-8°C.

Boxing Day

Cold and frosty start but turning more unsettled and milder through Boxing Day with rain and strong winds pushing east thanks to a low pressure system to our West. Snowfall expected over Scottish Highlands and perhaps Northern Pennines, Peak District and Yorkshire Dales for a time. Temperatures 7-11°C. That's how Christmas 2019 is shaping up! As always we'll monitor the situation and later on Christmas Day provide updates as to whether or not it's been a White Christmas. The Met Office are normally quite good at getting this information out quickly. We may update this article if the forecast changes. Have a very Merry Christmas!" ["post_title"]=> string(31) "Christmas 2019: White or Green?" ["post_excerpt"]=> string(0) "" ["post_status"]=> string(7) "publish" ["comment_status"]=> string(4) "open" ["ping_status"]=> string(4) "open" ["post_password"]=> string(0) "" ["post_name"]=> string(11) "christmas19" ["to_ping"]=> string(0) "" ["pinged"]=> string(0) "" ["post_modified"]=> string(19) "2021-10-31 11:41:21" ["post_modified_gmt"]=> string(19) "2021-10-31 11:41:21" ["post_content_filtered"]=> string(0) "" ["post_parent"]=> int(0) ["guid"]=> string(29) "https://snowwatch.org/?p=3295" ["menu_order"]=> int(0) ["post_type"]=> string(4) "post" ["post_mime_type"]=> string(0) "" ["comment_count"]=> string(1) "0" ["filter"]=> string(3) "raw" }

23 December 2019